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The Powder Predictor
RealVail Weather Watch Blog
El Niņo trends likely to continue, but snow is on the way
Steamboat got the most of the recent storm, but another shot at snow is coming March 7.
 

El Niņo trends likely to continue, but snow is on the way

By Reid Griebling

March 5, 2010 —  First, I would like to thank the staff at Plum TV in Aspen and their show "Top of the Mountain," for having me on set this morning. it was a blast and well worth the early morning drive. It’s nice to see the fruits of your labor being squeezed.

We were soured again in Colorado, as a potentially compact and strong storm was shredded by the Wasatch mountains of Utah. Most resorts in Utah saw well over a foot this morning, with Brighton harvesting 20 inches.

As for Colorado, Steamboat led all resorts with a mere four inches; however, we do have a shot of snow beginning late Sunday, March 7, as another low stomps into the region.

This next storm looks to favor the southwest (again), although dynamics look good enough that all resorts should see at least some accumulating snowfall by Monday morning, March 8.

Saturday, March 6, looks like a bluebird day as temps will be mild ahead of the next storm. Look for on-mountain temps for Saturday to be in the low 30s as southwest winds will bring in warmer air with abundant sunshine. Winds will be mild for most of the weekend, but will increase Sunday night into Monday.

Look for Monday morning snow totals to range from 3-6 inches, favoring the Beav'. Again, another typical El Niņo storm as Silverton, Telluride and Taos look to get double-digit snow, with the Front Range also being impacted.

Don't fret friends. March will produce at least one big powder day, and April always seems to surprise us with some snowy cycles. For now, plant those seedlings that spring is almost here, and with it comes the fun neon colors of lemon, lime, and orange.

Enjoy!

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Forecast models indicate Vail should have an active March and April
Reid is predicting some better snow this month as March normally is Vail's snowiest month
 

Forecast models indicate Vail should have an active March and April

But little snow on the horizon for now
By Reid Griebling

March 2, 2010 —  Spring-like weather in the Rockies has arrived with valley temps well in 40s and on-mountain temps in the 30s. As March foxtrots in with clear skies and high pressure building, only the naive will be duped into thinking that tank-tops and road bikes should be dusted off.

As March is normally our snowiest month, winter weather will be seen as soon as Thursday, March 4, as a weak disturbance will move through the Western Slope.

Southwest winds will bring in our next system during the day Thursday with snow showers increasing overnight. This system doesn't seem to have the gusto we're looking for, but the trajectory is favorable for the central and northern mountains.

Expect snow totals to be light (1-3 inches) with a slight chance of favorable dynamics to give some areas more than 5 inches.

Tis the season that temperatures will fluctuate dramatically as overnight lows can still reach the teens and single digits, with daytime temps reaching over 50 degrees on the valley floors.

Models do show that we could have a very active March and April, but for now, we'll just settle with warm temps, longer days, and even longer waits at the car wash.

Enjoy!

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Vail Valley has shot at lingering showers, but little accumulation expected
For now, back to the cycle of clearing driveways and washing cars, as Denver and the Front Range will likely see more snow than most resorts in the north.
 

Vail Valley has shot at lingering showers, but little accumulation expected

By Reid Griebling

February 26, 2010 —  El Niņo (or El Noņo for the northern mountains) will bring another shot of snow for the San Juans and Front Range for the last weekend of February.

Another low pressure system will move into Colorado by Saturday, Feb. 27, dropping more snow on the southwest ski resorts (5-10 inches) and leaving the central and northern mountains fairly dry.

The Vail Valley has a shot at some lingering showers, but little accumulation is expected. Temps will remain warm, as on-mountain highs will be in the mid 20s with overnight lows in the high teens. Southwest winds will bring in these mild temps with any moisture staying south of Aspen.

Partly cloudy skies will dominate for the next five days as we see another shot of snow late next week (March 3-5).

For now, back to the cycle of clearing driveways and washing cars, as Denver and the Front Range will likely see more snow than most resorts in the north.

Enjoy!

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Finally some decent conditions and with snow coming just about everywhere in the Centennial State

 

Finally some decent conditions and with snow coming just about everywhere in the Centennial State

By Reid Griebling

February 19, 2010 —  Light snow is falling down valley as I write, and with good moisture and a strong jet stream over our region, Saturday Feb. 20 should be another good day of snow-riding in the Vail Valley.

A stronger low pressure system moves into the Four Corners area later this afternoon bringing widespread snow over all resort areas of Colorado. This system will begin in the southwest and slowly move northeast, giving the San Juan's the best shot of snow early, but not leaving out the Elk, Park, and Gore mountains.

Look for the central mountains to benefit the most as Crested Butte and Aspen could see well over a foot of snow by Saturday morning.

Vail and Beaver Creek can expect anywhere from 4-8 inches on the ground by Saturday (Feb. 20) morning, with a slight chance of double digit numbers as winds will move in from the west/southwest.

Temps should be seasonal as on mountain highs will be in the 20's with overnight lows in the teens. Winds will again be brisk as this system moves east. Expect winds in the 15-25 mph range, gusts up to 35 over ridge tops.

We should see snow for most of Saturday as clearing skies will arrive by Sunday afternoon (Feb. 21) with colder temps to follow.

And with plenty of snow on the ground from early this week, we finally see some great conditions at both resorts.

Overall a great weekend ahead for the Centennial state as snow should be falling just about everywhere.

Enjoy!!!

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